Employers Pay Twice for Health Care, but Nobody's Fixing That
As America's long summer was passing and autumn leaves beginning to change color, employers were sitting down for an annual ritual with brokers and bracing for the premium increase. Budget more, cover less, hope the workforce stays healthy enough that the number doesn't climb too much next year. Oh, and inform employees they’re getting more benefits instead of a raise.
What this ritual routinely misses is that the premium is only part of the bill, and the smaller part at that. The rest shows up quietly, spread across absenteeism, presenteeism, turnover and disability claims, the cost of disease care rather than prevention. Employers pay for health care and pay again when it doesn't actually keep people healthy. Few ever add up both numbers, or even realize they're funding failure twice. The math is sobering: for every dollar employers spend on medical and pharmacy claims, they lose another two dollars and thirty cents on low productivity.[Loepkke]
After almost 40 years in medicine, I keep running into the same truth: we know lifestyle change works but lack a sustainable business model. My colleagues push narrow fixes: GLP-1s, teaching kitchens (hands-on cooking classes), the physical activity vital sign (asking about exercise at every doctor’s visit), payment for exercise prescription, coverage for exercise physiologists (a notion I proposed to the American College of Sports Medicine’s Health and Science Policy committee on my first day serving on it, back in 2005). Eating plant-forward real food, moving more, sitting less, managing stress better and reversing the conditions actually driving cost (cardiometabolic disease, musculoskeletal pain, depression and anxiety) reliably reduces both the direct and indirect numbers.
That's not my bias, it's decades of evidence. Yet almost nobody delivers it at scale or knows the real value.
Why Good Prevention Pilots Die
Prevention programs that quietly disappear usually fail one of three ways: it was a grant and worked until the grant ended; it ran on fee-for-service margins and got cut when budgets tightened (e.g., cardiac rehab programs); or it was an employer wellness program with insufficient clinical infrastructure. Today's most successful lifestyle medicine programs are either out-of-pocket concierge care or employer-sponsored direct primary care.
Prevention programs fail for two different reasons. Sometimes the value never routes back to whoever creates it: an employer's claims and absenteeism both drop, but the health system only gets credited for the claims. Employers make the same mistake in reverse: they discount future savings because a healthier employee might leave for another company. That fear may be outdated, given that work-life balance has overtaken pay as workers' top priority.[Randstad] Other times, success threatens someone's existing revenue: hospitals stay wary of prevention because fewer sick patients might mean fewer admissions and less specialist income, or as an old friend put it, "Keep 'em sick and keep 'em coming."
Medicare is immune to this problem of losing someone to another payor: once someone's a beneficiary, they're Medicare's for life. Yet the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services still hasn't found a way to save money from prevention, a major goal of the new ELEVATE model, a 3-year study of lifestyle interventions that emphasize diet and exercise.
Such piecemeal approaches are one bad budget year away from disappearing, and that's why promising efforts stall in the pilot stage. Indeed, why wait another 4-5 years to see how ELEVATE turns out? ELEVATE, too, only covers part of the population, mostly retirees, not the working-age employees this piece is really about.
A Different Starting Assumption
What if all adults were eligible, every cost and benefit counted and one clinical model, one clinic, one Lifestyle Medicine and social-needs care team served every party?
Employers contracting directly for their covered population at a modest per-employee rate. Health systems contracting for value-based and risk-adjusted contracts. Medicare paying for Annual Wellness Visits, Chronic Care Management, remote monitoring and shared savings through accountable care. Same clinical engine, all funding streams, all accountable because everything links back to paid claims.
We Didn't Just Believe It, We Modeled It
The idea is only compelling if the math holds up, so we built a full financial model: Whole Health 4.0. Not a napkin sketch, a genuine pro forma with nearly three thousand linked calculations. Tested against three very different communities: rural, suburban and urban. Not just to see if it broke even, but stress-tested against draconian "reimbursement" cuts and horrendous hiring delays. It held up in every scenario, in every market. The health system turns a profit, and employers see triple-digit ROI by year five, with the whole thing net positive within two years, in all three markets.
It also covers the cost of the community-based and not-for-profit organizations that serve people with the greatest health-related social needs, the population that drives a disproportionate share of chronic care costs. Supporting these partners is important because philanthropy and public health dollars alone will never adequately scale those organizations.
What Whole Health 4.0 Actually Requires
None of this happens through a grant application or white paper. It happens when a community's anchor employers tell payors and health systems they've had enough, that it's time to invest in their community's health instead of paying for programs that don't deliver it. It takes courage: put in real capital, work alongside partners with real skin in the game, get a real financial return. And because the work hires local people rather than platform capitalists, it strengthens the neighborhood too.
If you're a health system leader, an employer benefits leader or someone who's spent years wondering why "wellness" never seems to move the number that matters, have a talk with my team. We'll show you the model and let you tell us where it breaks. We're pretty darned sure Whole Health 4.0 survives that conversation.
References
Loeppke, R., et al. "Health and Productivity as a Business Strategy: A Multiemployer Study." Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine 51, no. 4 (2009): 411–428. https://journals.lww.com/joem/abstract/2009/04000/health_and_productivity_as_a_business_strategy__a.4.aspx
Randstad. "Work-life Balance Tops Pay: Randstad's Workmonitor Reveals New Workplace Baseline." Randstad Workmonitor 2025. https://www.randstad.com/press/2025/work-life-balance-tops-pay-randstads-workmonitor-reveals/
- GE Moore MD's blog
- Log in to post comments
- Follow our Blog